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  • Learning NumPy Array
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Learning NumPy Array

Learning NumPy Array

By : Ivan Idris
4 (9)
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Learning NumPy Array

Learning NumPy Array

4 (9)
By: Ivan Idris

Overview of this book

Table of Contents (14 chapters)
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Learning NumPy Array
Credits
About the Author
About the Reviewers
www.PacktPub.com
Preface
Index

Moving-average temperature model with lag 1


The moving average model of a time series represents the data as oscillations around the mean of the data. It is assumed that the lag components are white noise (not a politically incorrect term as far as I know), which forms a linear combination. We will again use the leastsq function to fit a model:

  1. We will start off with a simple moving-average model. It has only one lag component and therefore only one coefficient. The code snippet is as follows:

    def model(p, ma1):
       return p * ma1
  2. Call the leastsq function. Here, we subtract the mean from the data:

    params = leastsq(error, p0, args=(temp[1:cutoff] - mu, temp[:cutoff-1] - mu))[0]
    print params

    The program prints the following parameter:

    [ 0.94809073]
    

    We get the following plot for the absolute error histogram, which is comparable to the autoregressive model results:

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